For Want Of A Goalie Leafs & Oilers Take A Net Loss

There are truisms. Never eat at a place called Mom’s. Never play cards with a guy whose name is the same as a president. And don’t try to fake goaltending in hockey. 

Everyone knows that. Except, apparently the Toronto  Maple Leafs and the Edmonton Oilers— both teams that entered the year as bonafide Stanley Cup threats. The Maple Leafs in particular were considered a Top 5 NHL team. Loaded with stars such as Austen Matthews, Mitch Marner,  William Nylander and John Tavares, they were seen as a powerhouse in the Eastern Conference.

In the West it was supposed to be the year Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl would finally lead the Edmonton Oilers to a lengthy playoff run. Both these predictions hinged on the ability of the clubs to locate a consistent goalie— or goalie tandem— to backstop their high-octane offences.

But for reasons best known to themselves the suits in Toronto and Edmonton chose to use the devils they knew as opposed to the devils they might obtain in a trade or a signing. The Leafs have been using a combo of journeymen Jack Campbell, Erik Kallgren and Peter Mrazek this season. The result has not been disastrous, but no one in Toronto thinks it can work in the playoffs. And who wants to see another year come off the calendar for the Leafs’ core?

Hence the Hogtown shock when GM Kyle Dubas was unable to come up with a goalie like Marc-André Fleury or Jake Allen at the trade deadline. With so much invested in the Leafs star-studded lineup it seems a huge gamble to leave things to chance. After losing to the awful Montreal Canadiens on Saturday but beating Florida on Sunday the Leafs are now just above a wild-card spot, third in the division and sixth in the conference. 

There’s no likely prospect of missing the playoffs, but playing road games against either defending Cup champs Tampa or the resurgent Panthers in the first round would be daunting. (Although Florida’s proved little bother on Sunday.) If the season ended now the first-round opponent would be Tampa. 

Then there are there perennially disappointing Edmonton Oilers. Like Toronto the Oilers braintrust tried to make goalie salad out of the goalie scratch from ancient Mike Smith and untested Mikko Koskinen at season’s debut. When that formula soured they fired coach Dave Tippett for Jay “Who ‘Dat” Woodcroft.

But Woodcroft can’t get the goaltending right, either. Like Toronto the Oil also came up dry on a replacement at the trade deadline. All you need to know about how that goalie tandem has worked out was on display in Calgary’s 9-5 rout of the Oilers’ goalies. The Flames scored at will as their fans gleefully chanted “We want 10!”

Unlike Toronto, the Oilers could tumble out of the playoffs altogether. For now they would face the L.A. Kings if the playoffs begin this week. Making it all the more galling for the Oilers is the stunning performance of the Flames, their Alberta rivals. Backstopped by Vezina candidate Jacob Markstrom, the free-wheeling Flames are suddenly the darlings of bettors to win the West and maybe the first Canadian team to win the  Stanley Cup since 1993. 

Seeing them carve up the two Edmonton goalies was extra galling. The Montreal Canadians of 2021 showed that almost anyone can get on a run with a hot goalie like Carey Price. This year’s worst Eastern Conference club made it all the way to last year’s Final  before succumbing to Tampa. But the chances of the Leafs or Oilers making the same push with the spares they have in goal are very long. 

Which brings up a topic we first wrote about in January 2018 in How Long Will Connor McDavid Stay With A Loser? While Toronto’s large market can provide Matthews with lots of brand exposure, the same can’t said for McDavid in Edmonton. 

The biggest issue is how long McDavid wants to sequester himself in northern Alberta, far from the marketing opportunities of the NHL’s large markets, rarely seeing the postseason. (By contrast, Gretzky never missed the postseason in his 14 NHL seasons.) Yes, he has a whacking great contract. Yes, he’s making all the right noises about loving Edmonton.

But in the age of Lebron James organizing his own NBA teams, MLB powerhouses buying what they want, the notion that McDavid is wedded to a floundering small market in perpetuity is wishful thinking for Edmonton fans. It says here, there’s a clock ticking on the Oilers’ monopoly on McDavid’s affections. If he can’t realize his brilliant skill in Edmonton it will be somewhere else. And sooner than you might think.

That was four years ago. Seeing the Oilers yet again deny him the goalie that might bring him a Cup is getting very old. So is the Leafs fumbling toward irrelevancy, because the team with everything can’t get a goalie. Teams have a window for success. Both Edmonton and Toronto have less runway left now. To paraphrase Shakespeare, for want of a goalie the Cup was lost. 

Bruce Dowbiggin @dowbboy is the editor of Not The Public Broadcaster (http://www.notthepublicbroadcaster.com). The best-selling author was nominated for the BBN Business Book award of 2020 for Personal Account with Tony Comper. A two-time winner of the Gemini Award as Canada's top television sports broadcaster, he’s also a regular contributor to Sirius XM Canada Talks Ch. 167. His new book with his son Evan Inexact Science: The Six Most Compelling Draft Years In NHL History is now available on http://brucedowbigginbooks.ca/book-personalaccount.aspx